The Brexit Party has dropped six percentage points in barely two months, a drop which appears to strengthen the argument of those who have suggested the former UKIP leader should step aside, eight months after the launch of his latest political venture, in order to allow recently elected Tory leader and Prime Minister Mr Johnson to get Brexit over the line. ComRes published its most recent poll today, commissioned by the Daily Telegraph, which put Conservative support at 31 percent, four points ahead of Labour on 27 percent.
The Brexit Party was on 16 percent, a significant drop compared with a ComRes poll undertaken on behalf of the same newspaper published on June 10.
On that occasion, Labour, on 27 percent, led by four points from Tories, on 23 percent, with Mr Farage breathing down their necks on 22 percent.
The Brexit Party’s fortunes have fluctuated in recent months, and actually rose by one percent compared with the last Comres poll on July 29 – but the overall trend is downwards.
Support for Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party has dropped by seven points in two months, polling suggests
Boris Johnson insists he will deliver Brexit by October 31
The most recent ComRes poll had a sample of 2011 people interviewed between August 9 and 11.
The Brexit Party has been a huge thorn in the side for the Conservative Party, to the point where some have advocated the idea of an electoral pact to stop the pro-Brexit vote from being split in the next general election.
Analysts including Professor Tony Travers, director of LSE London, have suggested Mr Johnson’s strident insistence to take the UK out of the EU “do or die” by October 31 is aimed at win over wavering Tory voters who may be considering defecting to Mr Farage’s outfit.
Nigel Farage campaigns for the Brexit Party
Mr Farage himself has shown no indication that he is ready to throw in the towel, saying last week: “The Brexit Party only exists because the Conservatives failed to deliver on March 29.
“On current form, I have little faith in Boris delivering on October 31. That means we’re here to stay.”
In other comments made in the wake of remarks by recently elected Brexit Party MEP, Claire Fox, he tweeted: “As Claire Fox says, it is arrogant for the Conservatives to say we should stand aside.
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The ComRes poll indicates a dwindling in support from the Brexit Party
“They are the very reason we exist. We simply do not trust them to deliver.”
The pressure has been piled on by Tories including Steve Baker, who told Express.co.uk in June: “The grave danger of the Brexit Party is the risk of a Labour Government.
“My message is simple: if you want Brexit, vote Conservative.
“We are already a desperately weak position in Parliament through being a minority.
A graph illustrates the so-called “Boris Bounce”
“We need that seat to be in the hands of the Conservative Party in order to deliver Brexit.
“Every vote counts. It’s not just about close votes in the Commons, we’ve even had one vote which was tied.
“If there does end up being a general election, then the Conservative Party must win it.
“The alternative is Jeremy Corbyn in Downing Street, which is a terrible idea.”
Tory MP and ardent Brexiteer Steve Baker
Speaking on Express.co.uk’s latest podcast, Brexit: The Final Countdown, Express.co.uk’s head of news Paul Baldwin suggested it was time for the Brexit Party to “back down and start taking a back seat”.
Mr Baldwin said: “Here’s the weird but obvious thing. If they don’t do that, they will be masters of their own downfall.
“Brexit will not happen because the Tories will probably be booted out in a fresh election, if it’s called.
“They have to in their own self-interest, if they are serious about it, implode basically and leave it to Boris I think.”