Home politics Final odds on who will win the US election – Joe Biden or Donald Trump

Final odds on who will win the US election – Joe Biden or Donald Trump

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Final odds on who will win the US election – Joe Biden or Donald Trump


The USA is heading to the polls today to choose Joe Biden, or another four years with Donald Trump.

After an extraordinary race defined by the ongoing coronavirus pandemic, the time has come for the country to elect its next President.

Nearly 99 million people have already cast their ballot, suggesting this US election will have the highest voter turnout in history.

But which man will America choose?

Joe Biden may be leading comfortably in the polls, but the latest odds suggest it may be a closer result:

US election odds

Yesterday Oddschecker had Joe Biden at 8/15 to win the election, and Donald Trump at 15/8.

That would give Biden a 65.2% chance of winning.

But on Election Day Trump’s odds have been slashed, and he’s now thought to have a 40% chance at victory.



Trump’s odds were slashed overnight – but Biden is still the favourite to win

Biden’s odds have drifted to 8/13 in places, and while he’s still the favourite to win, the gap has significantly narrowed overnight.

59% of bets placed on the US election have been for Trump, while 29% have been for Biden.

The largest single bet has been on a Trump victory, as an unidentified Brit has put a staggering $5 million on 37/20 odds. It’s thought to be the largest political punt ever made.

Odds are 1000/1 that Kanye West beats Trump and Biden to the White House, but he is the second favourite to come third in the race.

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Oddschecker estimates that by the time the markets close, more than £400 million will have been laid down on the US election this year.

According to the latest polls from FiveThirtyEight, Joe Biden is 8.5 points ahead of Trump, giving him a clear lead over the incumbent President.

But that’s not to say the election won’t be close. In 2016, Hillary Clinton remained ahead of Donald Trump in the polls throughout the race, but ultimately lost in the electoral college.

On the eve of Election Day 2016, bookmakers only had Donald Trump at a 20% chance of winning.





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