AFTER months of debate, parents will find out if their children will be getting a Covid vaccine TODAY.
Vaccines Minister Nadhim Zahawi will give parliament an update on how the rollout will work at 3.30pm.
It comes after months of waiting for a decision from the experts on the Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation (JCVI).
The JCVI have a number of factors to weigh up to make their decision, including whether it is safe and fair to adults in countries with high Covid cases.
Professor Anthony Harnden, deputy chairman of the JCVI, has previously said there are “ethical dilemmas” when it comes to vaccinating children.
The US, Israel and Italy are already ahead in vaccinating kids in their nations.
Prof Neil Ferguson, a scientific advisor to the Government, said “herd immunity” will not be reached in the UK without jabbing teens.
He told BBC’s Andrew Marr Show: “In the absence of vaccinating teenagers … we’re already seeing very high numbers of cases in teenagers – and we won’t be able to reach herd immunity without significant immunity in basically people under 18.”
Which children will get the vaccine?
Mr Zahawi suggested that children aged 12 to 17 will be vaccinated – but only if they are in a vulnerable group, or live with someone who is.
He told Sky News this morning: “Suffice to say they [the JCVI] have looked very closely, especially at children who are more vulnerable to serious infection from Covid, children who live with adults who are more vulnerable to serious infection from Covid.”
It is also understood the only other youngsters who will get the vaccine are 17-year-olds who turn 18 in less than three months.
Communities Secretary Robert Jenrick also said ministers expected advice very soon on whether to give vaccines to those who are “just short of their 18th birthday, to those children who have particular vulnerabilities and those children who are in households where there are people who are particularly vulnerable”.
Meanwhile The Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation are still reviewing evidence around vaccinating all over-12s.
Pressed on why the Government was not looking to jab all children, Mr Zahawi added: “The JCVI are continuing to review that.
“There is new emerging data of children vaccinated in America and elsewhere with a first dose, not yet enough data with a second dose, so they want to look at all the data.”
The minister said there had been cases of inflammation of the heart in some children who had received the vaccine, adding: “On balance, I think the JCVI are coming down on the side of continuing to review all children, healthy children, but wanting to protect the vulnerable children first.”
How effective is the vaccine in children?
There are various trials of leading vaccines ongoing in children.
Pfizer and Moderna have revealed results so far, and they are promising.
When Moderna looked for milder cases after one dose, the vaccine was still shown to be 93 per cent effective.
Johnson & Johnson is testing on those aged 12-18 while trials on kids aged between six months and 11-year-old’s are also being held by Moderna and Pfizer.
Are there side effects?
The most common side-effects in children aged 12 to 15 are similar to those in people aged 16 and over, the Pfizer study showed.
They include pain at the injection site, tiredness, headache, muscle and joint pain, chills and fever.
These effects are usually mild or moderate and improve within a few days.
UK regulators have admitted there could be a link between “very rare” heart inflammation and Covid vaccines.
Young men are most affected, particularly after a second dose, research shows.
In the US, where over 12s are being vaccinated, cases have been highest in those aged between 12 and 24 years old.
When will children get Covid vaccines?
After the astonishing results from Pfizer in March, the UK’s medicine regulator the MHRA authorised the jab in kids aged 12 to 15 in early June.
Moderna has also applied for authorisation for its jab to be used in those aged 12 to 17.
After authorisation, the JCVI gives advice to the Government on how best to use jabs.
Vaccines minister Nadhim Zahawi told LBC radio at the end of May that the “infrastructure is ready” to vaccinate children and teenagers.
It was reported that if given the green-light, vaccines could be rolled out to over 12s as early as the second half of August, the Sunday Telegraph reported a Government source as saying.
So with everything in place to give jabs to children, what will the decision be based on?
1. Whether it’s safe
Prof Stephen Evans, Professor of Pharmacoepidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, said the benefit of vaccines for kids is “minimal”, and therefore may be outweighed by any risks.
He commented on June 16: “It is a complex question for JCVI; if the benefits to the individual vaccinated child are extremely low, are we absolutely sure that there is no very rare harm that they may suffer?
“If there were, the balance to the child could be unfavourable.”
Prof Evans said the balance of risk to benefit can change during vaccination – as it became clear over time the AstraZeneca jab was linked to blood clots in younger adults.
He added: “Those countries that have decided to vaccinate children may generate that knowledge, but not until many millions of children have been vaccinated will it be clear.”
Prof Harnden stressed that we need to be “absolutely sure that the benefits to them (children) and potentially to society far outweigh any risks”.
2. Real-world impact
Some have questioned whether it is worth offering vaccines to children when it would have little clinical benefit.
Prof Evans said: “Children are at extremely small risk of any adverse outcome, especially death, resulting from Covid.
“Vaccinating them would largely bring benefits to others – adults including teachers who they may infect with the virus if the children themselves are infected.
“We do not know with certainty that vaccinating children will notably reduce their possible transmission of the virus to others…”
Calum Semple, professor of child health and outbreak medicine at the University of Liverpool, said the risk of death in children is literally “one in a million”.
He told BBC Radio 4’s Today programme on June 16: “We know in wave one and wave two put together there were 12 deaths in children – in England, Scotland, Wales and Ireland put together – and that is rare, because there are about 13 to 14 million children in the UK.
“So we’re talking about vaccinating children here mainly to protect public health and reduce transmission.”
A study led by paediatric registrar at the University of Bristol Dr Clare Smith found that 61 children and young people had died with a positive Covid-19 test from March 2020 through to February 2021.
Of these, some 40 per cent died directly of Covid-19, meaning that 25 children and young people actually died from the virus out of an estimated 469,000 infections.
Dr Smith told reporters at a briefing that this meant that “99.995 per cent of children and young people who were infected with Covid-19 in England survived”.
Preventing transmission will reduce the risk an adult picks the virus up, either because their jab has not worked, they have refused their jab offer or cannot have it for medical reasons.
However, even the argument of whether vaccinating to reduce the spread is debated, because children are not thought to spread the virus as much as adults.
Many scientists and MPs alike do not agree with vaccinating children, who are unlikely to get severely sick with Covid, when there are millions of adults worldwide waiting for a jab.
In poorer countries where vaccination programmes have been slow, Covid cases are often still very high.
The director of the Oxford Vaccine Group, who helped develop the Oxford/AstraZeneca Covid-19 jab, has said it is “morally wrong” to offer jabs to children in wealthy countries.
Professor Sir Andrew Pollard told the Science and Technology Committee of MPs on June 16: “(There is) a moral objection to vaccinating a population that is (at) extremely low risk of disease.
“Whilst we know in many parts of the world, there are people who will die over the next three months because they have no access to the vaccine.
“The priority if we take a global perspective has to be to save lives around the world, and to have had doses made available as early as possible to those at greater risk.”
Even celebrities are backing the cause for wealthy countries to share their doses.
David Beckham, Olivia Colman, Orlando Bloom,Whoopi Goldberg and Billie Eilish are among a group of celebs and Unicef ambassadors who have written to world leaders calling for action.
Unicef warned that without ensuring “fair and equitable” supplies of jabs, the world is at risk of future new Covid variants – which could also impact the UK.
Professor Devi Sridhar, chairman of global public health at the University of Edinburgh, suggested there were enough jabs to cover kids as well as helping other nations.
Children are unlikely to be given AstraZeneca, and so they can be sent to countries abroad, Prof Sridhar said.
She added: “We have the supply – it’s not a large amount, it’s a couple of million doses to cover that population of 12-plus.”
Dr Susan Hopkins, from Public Health England, agreed the number of vaccines which would be needed to vaccinate 12 to 18-year-olds “won’t solve the global vaccines” issue.
4. Benefits for kids
Prof Sridhar argued that vaccinating children will prevent outbreaks of Covid in schools, and therefore home learning due to self-isolation.
She told Good Morning Britain on June 7: “If we want schools to continue without disruption in the autumn and lift restrictions so children can have a normal experience, we need to vaccinate them, and if we wait and watch for the evidence it will be too late in the next few weeks.
“Given that we know children can transmit, where we are going to see problems going forward is not going to be in care homes, it’s not going to be in hospitals, it’s going to be in schools, because this is where you’re going to see large groups of unvaccinated kids together.”
Long covid also affects children that get the coronavirus, although research suggests it is very rare.
PHE’s Dr Hopkins said on June 16: “You have to see what is the benefits to vaccinating children actually for their own health, it is small at the moment.”
But she said there was “clearly a risk of long Covid, particularly in teenage children”.
5. Herd immunity
Professor Sir David King the former chief scientific adviser to the government urged ministers to roll out the jab to those over 12 “quickly”.
Without urgency, Sir David floated the idea that the Government is secretly planning for herd immunity to build in youngsters.
He told Sky News on June 7: “Let me ask you, if I may, to ask the Government, are they actually believing in herd immunity amongst school children?
“Is that why they’re saying, ‘take masks off it’, so that the disease spreads rapidly and they all become immune by having had the disease?
“If that is a policy, shouldn’t we be honest with the public, and tell us that is the policy?”
Herd immunity – when so many people have immunity against a disease that it creates a protective bubble – is a controversial strategy as it means more illness.
Professor Adam Finn, who is part of the body which advises the Government on vaccines, said that if enough immunity was built up through the adult vaccination programme then vaccinating children may not be justified.
He told Good Morning Britain on June 7: “If indeed it turns out that children can be indirectly protected by the immunity that we induce in adults then there’s clearly no justification for immunising – or at least immunising all of them.”