BRITAIN’S coronavirus R rate has fallen to 1, experts claim – raising hopes lockdown could still be avoided.
New data from the Covid Symptom Tracker app, run by King’s College London, has revealed a slight drop in Covid-19 infections.
Professor Tim Spector, who runs the study, said on Twitter today: “More good news as the Zoe CSS app survey continues to show a plateauing and slight fall in new cases in England, Wales and Scotland with an R of 1.0.”
The R value is the number of people an infected person will transmit the disease to, and is based on estimates, shown as a range.
If the number is above 1, the epidemic is growing – and the higher the figure the faster it grows.
The latest figures from KCL would suggest the three tier system is working to drive down infections in localised hotspots.
On Friday, the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) estimated the UK’s R rate to be between 1.1 and 1.3.
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Separate research by Imperial College London, published on Thursday, suggested the value could be much higher – at almost 3 in London and above 2 in the South.
On Saturday, Boris Johnson the country will go back under strict measures for four weeks after local restrictions failed to sufficiently reduce infections.
However, there was some suggestion it could be extended beyond December 2 after Cabinet Office Minister Michael Gove admitted they may need to be in place for longer.