Boris Johnson has so far sped ahead of the Labour Party leader in the polls ahead of the critical December 12 election. But, last week some polls suggested the Labour Party leader was beginning to close the gap. Now, a shocking poll has seen Mr Johnson’s lead over Mr Corbyn halved to six points.
According to a poll by BMG for the Independent newspaper, the Prime Minister’s lead narrowed sharply to six points from 13, a week ago.
The Conservatives were on 39 percent, down two points, compared with the last BMG poll published on Nov 23.
Labour rose five points to 33 percent. The Liberal Democrats fell five points to 13 percent and the Brexit Party gained one point to 4 percent.
BMG polled 1,630 British voters online between November 27 and 29, before the horrifying London stabbing, which took place in the capital city on Friday afternoon.
Boris Johnson was dealt a huge polling blow
It comes after a critical YouGov poll, last week, found Mr Johnson was on track to secure a huge majority in the 2019 general election.
The constituency-by-constituency estimate by YouGov, published in The Times, indicated that if the election was held on Thursday, the Conservative Party would win 359 seats, 42 more than they took in 2017.
It would also take 43 percent of the vote, and in number of seats, this would be its best performance since 1987.
Labour, meanwhile, is set to lose 51 seats, falling from 262 seats in 2017 to 211 now, and taking 32 percent of the vote, a nine percentage point decrease.
Boris Johnson saw his lead cut in half
The poll also suggested none of the candidates who switched to the Lib Dems in recent months will win in their constituencies.
Chris Curtis, political research manager at YouGov, said the current analysis shows the Tories have a “comfortable majority”, with seats coming their way at the expense of Labour in the North and Midlands.
He said: “As expected, the key thing deciding the extent to which each of these seats is moving against Labour are how that seat voted in the European Union referendum.
“In the seats that voted most strongly to Leave in 2016 (60 percent or more in favour of departing the EU), the swing to the Conservatives is over six percent.
“This is allowing the Tories to overturn quite substantial majorities in places like West Bromwich East, the seat held until recently by Tom Watson, and Don Valley, the seat currently held by Caroline Flint.
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Some polls this week suggested Corbyn is cutting the gap between him and Boris
“The only silver lining for Labour is that there are still 30 seats where it is currently 5 percent or less behind the Tories. If it can manage to squeeze the gap over the coming fortnight, it may be able to paste over the cracks in their so-called Red Wall. But with just two weeks to go, time is running out for Labour.”
But, analysis carried out by Electoral Calculus after all three main parties had released their manifesto, also found the Tories appearing to lose support in the polls.
It put the Tories on 41.9 percent of the vote, a fall from 43 percent a week ago. Meanwhile, Labour have risen from 29.9 percent support to 32.2 percent.
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Speaking to The Daily Telegraph Martin Baxter, who founded Electoral Calculus, argued Mr Johnson is attempting to solidify his support amongst working-class Brexiteers.
Referring to the Prime Minister he commented: “He is going out for a working class Brexit demographic with the calculation that there are still some votes in the Brexit Party and Leave votes in the Conservative Party.
“Meanwhile Labour are continuing gradually to squeeze the Liberal Democrats and the Greens. If they keep going, there is potentially more they can do.
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“The question is whether they have scraped all the ‘Remain’ voters that they can from the two parties or whether there is more to come.”
Despite the poll results, other polls do continue to place the Prime Minister ahead of the Labour Party leader – and managing to hold his lead too.
The Prime Minister has insisted he will “get Brexit done” if he is elected on December 12.