Analysis: Boris Johnson has ‘mountain to climb to survive as Prime Minister’

If it is damning, and suggests Mr Johnson broke Covid rules by going to a “bring-your-own-booze” party on May 20, 2020, when the UK was in lockdown, he could be left clinging to the keys of No10 by his fingertips.

Pressure would inevitably pile up on the Metropolitan Police to launch a formal investigation which would leave Mr Johnson in an extremely perilous political position.

He has defied political gravity for years and is yet to come thumping to the ground from the Westminster high wire, though the wire is looking more and more frayed, some would say threadbare.

Ms Gray could report as early as next Tuesday and her report is certainly expected within the next few weeks.

However, the rules and laws on Covid restrictions do not always appear clear cut, as was evident from former No10 senior adviser Dominic Cummings’ trip to Barnard Castle.

He was not found to have breached them, even if his trip to Durham and the picturesque surrounding area was in the eyes of most people at least glaringly not in the spirit of the regulations.

Scotland Yard is also wary, or at least appears wary, of getting dragged into the political arena and there is a case, possibly not very strong, that there are more important alleged offences to pursue in the capital than past parties at No10, no matter how flagrant a breach of the rules they might have been.

Ms Gray spent six years as director general of propriety and ethics in the Cabinet Office, she also ran a pub in Northern Ireland and was once described by former Cabinet minister Sir Oliver Letwin as the person who “runs” Britain.


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