Will the goals continue to fly in with nobody inside Premier League stadia to celebrate them?
So far this goal crazy season there have been an average of 3.68 goals per match! That’s almost a goal a game more than last season’s average of 2.72, which was only fractionally less than the all-time Premier League record of 2.82 in 2018/19.
Does that makes predicting the outcome of matches more difficult? There’s more than one way to beat the bookies! Read on ….
Chelsea vs Crystal Palace – 12.30pm, BT Sport 1
Chelsea have the highest win rate in London Premier League derbies of any other side.
Their 132 victories from 256 derbies gives them a 51.56% win ratio.
But as Tuesday’s Carabao Cup tie with Spurs proved, when they led for long periods and went out on penalties, that doesn’t always guarantee success!
We’re sticking with Chelsea, but 2/5 is far too skinny.
Palace’s 2-1 home defeat last weekend means they have kept just one clean sheet in 11 Premier League matches. And notably, they have conceded eight of their previous 13 PL goals against in the first half, including both last weekend to Everton.
Chelsea to win and BTTS 15/8
Everton vs Brighton – 3pm, BT Sport 1
Historical precedent dictates that Everton always beat Brighton at Goodison – and lose down south.
The Toffees have NEVER been beaten by Brighton at Goodison Park. And while that’s a small sample size of just eight fixtures, it does stretch back to 1913, when Everton won an FA Cup replay thanks to a Frank Jefferis goal (no relation to Francis Jeffers).
Everton are a big looking 4/5 with thepools.com , who clearly haven’t been all that impressed by Everton’s run of six successive victories this season in all competitions.
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And new England call up Dominic Calvert-Lewin, two-hat-tricks already this season, is 7/2 to open the scoring on Saturday.
Everton to win & DCL any time scorer 15/8
Leeds vs Man City, 5.30pm, Sky Sports Main Event & PL
Bielsa’s boys have gone from feast to famine – back to back seven goal thrillers followed by last weekend’s attritional smash and grab raid at Bramall Lane.
But goals are surely back on the agenda again this weekend.
Manchester City have seen Over 3.5 goals in both of their Premier League matches this season (with 5.5 on average). City were also the top side for this metric last season, with 52.63% of their matches producing over 3.5 total goals.
Notably, they averaged 3.53 total goals away from home last season in league matches – and they don’t hang about getting them.
Two-nil up at half-time in each of their last three Premier League away matches, City have not witnessed a goalless first half in 13 straight PL matches across all venues.
Four of Leeds’ last five league matches played anywhere have seen over 3.5 total goals scored – and that outcome is just 10/11 with thepools.com .
City to win & BTTS 13/10
Newcastle vs Burnley, 8pm, Sky Sports Main Event & PL
Despite losing just one match this season, shot-shy Newcastle have managed the quite mind numbing feat of just four shots on target in the Premier League all season so far. No change then from last term when they had the fourth lowest goal average with one goal per game.
So Under 2.5 goals is understandably a very, very short 6/10 with thepools.com .
The Clarets have lost only one of their last ten away matches against sides that finished below them last season (W6, D3, L1). That said, they have failed to win in any of their previous four visits to St James’ Park, so the draw at 21/10 is our recommended pick.